数据执行的梦幻足球异类vs. 共识:周3


虽然他们各自的球队开局都是0胜4负, fans of the New York Giants and Miami Dolphins have reason to be excited about Week 3.

丹尼尔·琼斯时代即将在纽约拉开帷幕, as he takes over for the aging Eli Manning under center against the Buccaneers in Tampa. And Josh Rosen – who threw for 11 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in 14 games as a rookie with the Arizona Cardinals last season – has replaced Ryan Fitzpatrick for a Dolphins team that has been outscored 102-10.

幻想足球运动员能期待什么? Not much – at least in their respective team debuts – as 数据执行 ranks Jones 27th 罗森排在第32位.

数据执行’s advanced analytics team has developed its fantasy projections based on our proprietary data. vip威尼斯登录入口的排名是基于机会和人才, so our feelings about how many fantasy points a player will score aren’t the same thing as how we feel about them as a player overall.

数据执行已经确定了四分卫的球员, 跑步回来, wide receiver and tight end in a standard-scoring format that we project are either higher or lower than other experts’ rankings. 对于共识排名, vip威尼斯登录入口使用幻想Pros, 哪些网站汇集了主要奇幻网站的选择, 将vip威尼斯登录入口的预测与业内其他公司进行比较.

So here are 数据执行’s top undervalued or overvalued players for Week 3:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston (3) passes during the first half of an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers in Charlotte, N.C.星期四,9月. 12, 2019.

温斯顿到目前为止还没有真正点燃世界, completing just 59% of his attempts for 402 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions while Tampa Bay split its first two games. But 数据执行 projects that he’ll be able to exploit a Giants defense that has struggled early on.

Winston has thrown for 778 yards with five scores and only one pick in three career games against New York, which allowed a combined 642 passing yards and five touchdowns without intercepting a pass in losses at Dallas and at home against the Buffalo Bills.


大家都很喜欢布雷迪——这是有充分理由的——他已经完成了68项.8% of his passes for 605 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions while New England outscored the Pittsburgh Steelers and Dolphins by a combined 76-3. 然而, fantasy owners should hope Brady will able to do enough damage early on against the New York Jets before the Patriots decide to throttle in down with a huge lead.

布雷迪投出了平均264分.5 yards and totaled 36 touchdowns and only five picks while New England has won 15 of the past 17 in this series.


Indianapolis Colts 跑步回来 Marlon Mack celebrates after a touchdown during the second half in an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Chargers 周日, 9月. 2019年8月,加州卡森. 

在过去的几周里,performance对麦克的预测一直很高, essentially because the Colts have a strong offensive line and figure to lean on the running game a bit more without Andrew Luck under center. After running for 174 yards and a score in an overtime loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, Mack managed 51 yards on 20 carries in a Week 2 win over the Tennessee Titans.

The Atlanta Falcons allowed 172 rushing yards in a season-opening loss to the Minnesota Vikings before giving up just 49 in last week’s win over the 费城 Eagles. 费城, 然而, opted to throw the ball 48 times in that contest and certainly figure to be challenged a lot more by Mack.

同样被低估的还有:洛杉矶公羊队的托德·格利(Todd Gurley)th/14th)

Because the Cardinals have a poor offensive line and the Carolina Panthers have a tough defensive line, we expect Johnson will struggle to produce enough to benefit fantasy owners for the second week in a row. 约翰逊打了82码冲刺,表现稳定, 第一周与底特律雄狮队打成平手,55码接球并达阵得分, but he was limited to 14 rushing yards and a score and only one catch in last week’s loss to the Baltimore Ravens.

粉红豹在早期的挤兑中很脆弱, 第七大冲码是133码.每场比赛0. But we don’t expect the Cardinals will be able to open up the same kind of holes for Johnson in this contest.

同样被高估的还有巨人队的萨昆·巴克利(Saquon Barkley)th/4th); Austin Ekeler, Chargers (12th/6th)

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett (16) makes a catch with Pittsburgh Steelers cornerback Cameron Sutton (20) defending during an NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, 周日, 9月. 2019年15日,匹兹堡.

The speedy Lockett has developed into one of the league’s top deep threats, which bodes well for fantasy owners as he faces a New Orleans Saints defense that has been susceptible to the big play.

Cooper Kupp had a 66-yard reception and Brandin Cooks added a 57-yarder in the Los Angeles Rams’ 27-9 victory over New Orleans last weekend. 这, 休斯顿德州人队的威尔·富勒(54码), DeAndre Hopkins(38岁)和Kenny Stills(37岁)都在第一周烧掉了圣徒队. Lockett had a 44-yard touchdown catch in a season-opening win over the Cincinnati Bengals before finishing with 10 catches for 79 yards another victory at Pittsburgh in Week 2.

Josh Allen has been better in part because the Bills’ rebuilt offensive line has been better. 这让艾伦有更多的时间去找布朗, 这一数字将继续对辛辛那提猛虎队, 到目前为止,谁在防守端遇到过困难.

同样被低估的还有萨米·沃特金斯(Sammy Watkins),堪萨斯城酋长(2nd/9th)

霍普金斯在第二周表现平平(5次接球, 40 yards) after hauling in eight receptions for 111 yards and two scores in the opener. And 数据执行 projects he’ll find the going tough again this week against Casey Hayward Jr. of the Chargers, who have only surrendered a combined 435 yards through the air.

圣地亚哥和印第安纳波利斯的进攻节奏较慢, 这意味着霍普金斯和琼斯创造幻想点的时间更少了. The Colts also like to force opponents into playing conservatively on offense, 专注于放弃更短的完井时间.

同样被高估的还有:绿湾包装工(Green Bay Packers)的戴文特·亚当斯(Davante Adams)th/4th)

Our projections just aren’t forecasting what the consensus has been expecting from Howard on a weekly basis. 霍华德有天赋, but he wasn’t targeted in Week 2 after finishing with just four receptions for 32 yards in the opener.

尽管vip威尼斯登录入口希望温斯顿在对阵巨人队时能打出梦幻分, 他可能会瞄准克里斯·戈德温(数据表现4分th麦克·埃文斯(5名th)比霍华德和另一名边锋卡梅伦·布拉特都要多. 总的来说,巨人队的防守不是很好, 但是他们在对阵边路的时候做得很好.